Week 15 in the NFL wraps up tonight with a battle between two of the most disappointing teams of the season as the reigning Super Bowl-champion Los Angeles Rams (4-9, 1-4 away) visit the Green Bay Packers (5-8, 3-3 home) at Lambeau Field.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. EST on ESPN.

Rams vs. Packers Odds

Across the board, the Rams vs. Packers point spread is listed at Green Bay -7. Most books have the odds at -110 both ways, though Caesars Sportsbook currently lists Rams +7 at +100.

The total is also a consistent 39.5. The only major book that has shaded the juice either way is FanDuel, which lists the over at -105 and the under at -115.

The NFL odds show some significant variation in the Rams vs. Packers money line. Los Angeles is as short as +240 (BetMGM) and as long as +265 (FanDuel). Conversely, the heavily-favored Packers are -330 at FanDuel and -303 at BetMGM.

Much of LA’s struggles this year (though certainly not all) can be pinned on injuries. Starting QB Matthew Stafford, WR1 Cooper Kupp, starting running back Cam Akers, and defensive tackle Aaron Donald (the three-time Defensive Player of the Year) have all missed significant periods of time, and the Rams’ iceberg of injuries goes even deeper.

Stafford, Kupp and Donald remain sidelined, and Kupp is likely done for the season. With Stafford’s backup, John Wolford, also hurt, the team acquired Baker Mayfield ahead of last week’s home game with Las Vegas.

The long-time Brown (and short-time Panther) played well in his first start, all things considered. With extremely limited time to learn a new playbook, Mayfield went 22-35 for 230 yards, one touchdown, and no interceptions in a stunning 17-16 comeback victory. Not only did Mayfield and the Rams trail 13-3 at the half, but they also found themselves down 16-3 with fewer than four minutes to play in the game.

Mayfield capped the comeback with a 24-yard TD pass to Van Jefferson with just 10 seconds on the clock.

The victory snapped a brutal six-game losing streak for the Rams, who had at least managed to stay at .500 through their first half-dozen games of the season.

A seven-point home underdog to the Raiders, the Rams covered for the second straight game in Week 14 (following a 23-17 setback to the Seahawks as 6.5-point ‘dogs). But their ATS record still sits at a dismal 4-7-2 during a season when they were expected to mount a decent challenge to repeat.

With their offense sputtering most of the year, LA is 5-8 to the under through its first 13 games, though they have split their last eight evenly (4-4) as oddsmakers have adjusted to the reality of this lost season.

The defense has mostly helped up its end of the bargain. The Rams rank 13th in the league in total yards allowed and still grade out as the fifth-best defense according to ProFootballFocus.

Green Bay’s horrendous season has been less about injuries and more about roster construction and subpar QB play. Four-time NFL MVP Aaron Rodgers is having the worst season of his legendary career by many metrics. Since becoming the starter in 2008, Rodgers has never had a passer rating or QBR lower than his marks this year (92.4 and 41.0, respectively). His nine interceptions are already more than he’s thrown in a single season since 2010.

To his credit, he’s not working with the most talented receiving corps. His leading receiver, Allen Lazard, has already set a career-high with just 620 yards. Christian Watson (a 2022 second-rounder out of North Dakota State) and undrafted tight end Robert Tonyan round-out his top-three targets this season.

The Packers are coming off one of their better games of the season, a 28-19 comeback victory over arch-rival Chicago, but it’s hard to be too encouraged by their performance. Green Bay trailed 16-3 at halftime, was significantly outgained (409 to 357), and was only able to mount its fourth-quarter comeback due to turnovers and a missed field goal.

Even after covering against the Bears as 3.5-point road favorites, the Packers are only 5-8 ATS on the year. Their over/under mark sits at 7-6, making them one of just ten teams in the league to register more overs than unders in this relatively low-scoring season.

Rams vs. Packers Pick

It’s not every week that bettors will seen an NFL total in the 30s. Oddsmakers are anticipating another sluggish, dare-I-say unwatchable primetime affair. So it’s somewhat incongruous to see the spread still sitting a full touchdown.

The Packer defense is surrendering more yards per game (347.7 vs. 330.5) and more points per game (23.2 vs. 22.8) than their Rams counterpart. While Green Bay’s offense certainly has more potential to manufacture points, it’s become nearly impossible to trust Rodgers this year.

Even with Donald on the shelf, there is still more than enough talent on the LA defense to keep this game competitive.

Pick: Rams +7 (+100)

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